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NEUROLOGY 1992;42:1689
© 1992 American Academy of Neurology

Predictors of cognitive and functional progression in patients with probable Alzheimer's disease

James A. Mortimer, PhD, Brenda Ebbitt, MS, Sung-Pyo Jun, PhD and Michael D. Finch, PhD

Geriatric Research, Education and Clinical Center, Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Minneapolis, MN (Drs. Mortimer, Ebbitt, and Jun);
Department of Neurology, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, MN (Dr. Mortimer)
Division of Health Services Research and Policy, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN (Dr. Finch).

We followed 65 patients with probable Alzheimer's disease, who were initially mildly to moderately impaired, with semiannual assessments of cognitive and functional performance for up to 4 years. Scores on the Mini Mental State Examination and a combination of instrumental and self-maintenance scales of activities of daily living were regressed on time of examination (measured in 6-month increments) to estimate cognitive and functional progression rates in individual patients. Lower scores on the verbal neuropsychological tests at the time of study entry, more aggressive behavior, and sleep disturbance during the first year of observation predicted faster cognitive progression. Faster functional progression was predicted by paranoid behavior, hallucinations, and activity disturbances during the first year and the presence of extrapyramidal signs and lower scores on nonverbal neuropsychological tests at the time of entry into the study. Hallucinations occurred independently of cognitive severity and may identify a distinct subgroup of patients with rapid functional progression. Because of the greater significance of functional progression for caregivers' ability to manage patients, the presence of specific behavior problems early in the disease course may help to identify individuals who will experience greater functional decline and be at risk for earlier institutionalization.

Supported by the NIA grant 1-P01-AG06309 and the Department of Veterans Affairs.

Received November 14, 1991. Accepted for publication in final form February 11, 1992.

Address correspondence and reprint requests to Dr. James A. Mortimer, GRECC(11G), VA Medical Center, Minneapolis, MN 55417.




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